Friday, December 11, 2009

Worth Sharing

This very interesting thread from wattsupwiththat.com:

"WUWT reader Norris Hall commented on this thread: Americans belief of global warming sinking – below 50% for the first time in 2 years

… it is possible that this is just a big conspiracy by climate scientist around the world to boost their cause and make themselves more important. Though I find it hard to believe that thousands of scientists…all agreed to promote bogus science …Pretty hard to do without being discovered.

To which Paul Vaughan responded as follows:

Actually not so hard.

Personal anecdote:
Last spring when I was shopping around for a new source of funding, after having my funding slashed to zero 15 days after going public with a finding about natural climate variations, I kept running into funding application instructions of the following variety:

Successful candidates will:
1) Demonstrate AGW.
2) Demonstrate the catastrophic consequences of AGW.
3) Explore policy implications stemming from 1 & 2.

Follow the money — perhaps a conspiracy is unnecessary where a carrot will suffice.

This confirms the stories that I’ve been hearing over the last few years.
This is not all that dissimilar to the experiences of evolutionary skeptics (anecdotally) blocked from jobs and other opportunities based on the ideological difference of the reigning crew.

2 comments:

Whateverman said...

Yeah but conspiracy means collusion; people explicitly acting together towards a common cause. I perceive a common opinion, rather than active collusion.

This isn't to say, of course, that the opinion is correct. I simply believe people throw around the conspiracy word to make their personal cause sound more righteous and justified.

Stan said...

There was at least collusion, actual and proposed, in several instances: the deleted emails; the proposal to bully journals into excluding certain authors/papers; the use of the "trick" to create deceptive graphs by excluding inconvenient data.

But of course there is a common mindset amongst this crew, and perhaps the mindset is more effective than actual collusion.

For example the mindset that solar input forcing is constant; it is not, and is known to vary periodically by as much as 0.2%, with new data finding variations as high as 6%. So using a constant for solar input radiation forcing can't be right, even if it is a common model parameter.