Thursday, October 31, 2013

Professor Lockwood Clears Up The Journalism Errors

To my complete astonishment I have received the following email from Professor Lockwood:

Stan

The Carbon brief is correct (I havnt read the other). Much of the nonsense around is because people do not appreciate the difference between regional and global climates! Also I never use the term Little ice age as it is a misnomer: it was not an ice age of any kind!

I can point you to some publications (the hot links are to open access papers that can be read without a subscription)

That the global effects of the solar decline are minimal:
Jones, G. S., M. Lockwood, and P. A. Stott (2012), What influence will future solar activity changes over
the 21st century have on projected global near-surface temperature changes?, J. Geophys. Res., 117, D05103,
doi:10.1029/2011JD017013.)

a different analysis I did that comes to the same conclusion is in the IPCC AR5 report (Figure 10.6)
http://www.climatechange2013.org/images/uploads/WGIAR5_WGI-12Doc2b_FinalDraft_All.pdf

On evidence for a solar effect on the occurrence of colder European winters
M. Lockwood, R.G. Harrison,T. Woollings, and S.K. Solanki Are cold winters in Europe associated with low solar activity? Environ. Res. Lett., 5, 024001, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/5/2/024001, 2010
That this is European winter effect is related to Atlantic blocking events and colder European winters means warmer ones in, for example, Greenland
Woollings, T., M. Lockwood, G. Masato, C. Bell, and L. Gray (2010), Enhanced signature of solar variability in Eurasian
winter climate, Geophys. Res. Lett., 37, L20805, doi:10.1029/ 2010GL044601)

all the above is reviewed in
M. Lockwood, Solar Influence on Global and Regional Climate
Surveys in Geophysics , 33 (3), 503-534, doi: 10.1007/s10712-012-9181-3, 2012
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10712-012-9181-3
On the solar activity decline
M. Lockwood, Reconstruction and Prediction of Variations in the Open Solar Magnetic Flux and Interplanetary Conditions
Living Reviews in Solar Physics, 10, 4, 2013. doi: 10.12942/lrsp-2013-4
http://solarphysics.livingreviews.org/Articles/lrsp-2013-4/

Hope they are helpful

Mike Lockwood
The BBC article is in error; it misrepresented Professor Lockwood's position.

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