Monday, March 3, 2014

Blinkered Bureaucracy: Life in a Cocoon

American Interest looks at the American astonishment at Putin's invasion of Crimea, an eventuality predicted by Sarah Palin but shocking to the foreign policy experts who are culturally and intellectually inbred in DC:
"How many times did foolishly confident American experts and officials come out with some variant of the phrase “We all share a common interest in a stable and prosperous Ukraine.” We may think that’s true, but Putin doesn’t.

We blame this in part on the absence of true intellectual and ideological diversity in so much of the academy, the policy world and the mainstream media. Most college kids at good schools today know many more people from different races and cultural groups than their grandparents did, but they are much less exposed to people who think outside the left-liberal box. How many faithful New York Times readers have no idea what American conservatives think, much less how Russian oligarchs do? Well bred and well read Americans live in an ideological and cultural cocoon and this makes them fatally slow to understand the very different motivations that animate actors ranging from the Tea Party to the Kremlin to, dare we say it, the Supreme Leader and Guide of the Islamic Republic of Iran.

As far as we can tell, the default assumption guiding our political leadership these days is that the people on the other side of the bargaining table (unless they are mindless Tea Party Republicans) are fundamentally reasonable people who see the world as we do, and are motivated by the same things that motivate us. Many people are, of course, guided by an outlook not all that dissimilar from the standard upper middle class gentry American set of progressive ideas. But some aren’t, and when worlds collide, trouble comes.

Too much of the Washington policy establishment looks around the world and sees only reflections of its own enlightened self. That’s natural and perhaps inevitable to some degree. The people who rise through the competitive bureaucracies of American academic, media and think tank life tend to be those who’ve most thoroughly absorbed and internalized the set of beliefs and behavioral norms that those institutions embody and respect. On the whole, those beliefs and norms have a lot going for them. It would not be an improvement if America’s elite institutions started to look more like their counterparts in Russia or Zimbabwe.

But while those ideas and beliefs help people rise through the machinery of the American power system, they can get in the way when it comes to understanding the motives and calculations of people like President Putin. The best of the journalists, think tankers and officials will profit from the Crimean policy fiasco and will never again be as smug or as blind as so much of Washington was last week. The mediocre majority will go on as before.

The big question of course, is what President Obama will take away from this experience. Has he lost confidence in the self-described (and self-deceived) ‘realists’ who led him down the primrose path with their empty happy talk and their beguiling but treacherous illusions? Has he rethought his conviction that geopolitics and strategy are relics of a barbarous past with no further relevance in our own happy day? Is he tired of being humiliated on the international stage? Is it dawning on him that he has actual enemies rather than difficult partners out there, and that they wish him ill and seek to harm him? (Again, we are not talking about the GOP in Congress.)

Let’s hope so. There are almost three years left in this presidential term, and they could be very long ones if President Obama chooses to stick with the ideas and approaches he’s been using so far."
Obama has demonstrated his perfect fecklessness at standing up to anyone except the Americans he hates. The international community which slobbered all over Obama in '08 now realizes that he was all talk and no substance, and useful only for reducing the USA to an ineffectual pile of Leftist rubble, which is his ongoing program.

4 comments:

Robert Coble said...

I'd bet that Sarah Palin could see that Crimean invasion coming from her kitchen window in Wasilla, Alaska.

Merely joking...

Given the constant reinforcement of viewpoint within the insular Atheleftist collective and the projection of that viewpoint on to the rest of the world (i.e, "reality" outside that collective), it can hardly be surprising that the collective is "astonished" at the Russian invasion of Crimea.

What WOULD be surprising would be the collective actually coming to the realization that "reality" does NOT conform to their utopian vision nor comply with their elitist assumptions of how "reality" ought to be. In short, it would be surprising if they ever came to understand why they should "when faced with a difference between the map and the terrain, believe the terrain, and not the map."

Stan said...

But the mighty messiahs, with Obama in the lead, can talk the terrain into obeying the map as it should just by the sound of his mighty voice.

Robert Coble said...

Life, stranger than fiction: My first line above was intended as a joke. Now I find that she herself referenced the same "joke" in a Facebook post:

"Yes, I could see this one from Alaska. I'm usually not one to Told-Ya-So, but I did, despite my accurate prediction being derided as "an extremely far-fetched scenario" the the "high-brow" Foreign Police magazine. Here's what this "stupid" "insipid woman" predicted back in 2008: "After the Russian Army invaded the nation of Georgia, Senator Obama's reaction was one of indecision and moral equivalence, the kind of response that would only encourage Russia's Putin to invade Ukraine next."

Sheesh! Everybody wants to be a comedian. What's next, an inexperienced community organizer with no military knowledge, background or experience becoming President of the United States and Commander-in-Chief?!?

O-H C-R-A-P!!!

Stan said...

Har!